BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
New Mexico State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
New Mexico State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
19.10 |
13.55 (-5.55) |
26.46 |
19.77 (-6.69) |
19.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
283.90 |
262.78 (-21.12) |
409.92 |
362.93 (-46.99) |
362.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.87 |
4.48 (-0.39) |
6.82 |
6.36 (-0.46) |
6.36 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
27.50 |
37.42 (+9.92) |
21.85 |
25.37 (+3.53) |
25.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
364.20 |
438.53 (+74.33) |
392.08 |
425.52 (+33.45) |
425.52 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.30 |
6.26 (+0.95) |
6.06 |
6.37 (+0.32) |
6.37 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-08-26 |
UMass |
38.21 |
20.16 |
-18.05 |
58.37 |
78.96% |
L 30-41 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-03 |
Western Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 58-21 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Liberty |
22.46 |
38.07 |
+15.62 |
60.53 |
24.95% |
L 17-33 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-17 |
@New Mexico |
30.46 |
19.70 |
-10.76 |
50.16 |
67.26% |
W 27-17 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-24 |
@Hawai'i |
28.13 |
18.79 |
-9.34 |
46.91 |
64.98% |
L 17-20 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-05 |
Florida International |
34.53 |
13.59 |
-20.93 |
48.12 |
83.57% |
W 34-17 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-12 |
Sam Houston State |
25.78 |
14.08 |
-11.70 |
39.85 |
68.77% |
W 27-13 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-19 |
@UTEP |
24.20 |
15.15 |
-9.05 |
39.34 |
64.52% |
W 28-7 |
5-3 |
| 2023-10-24 |
@Louisiana Tech |
31.60 |
20.81 |
-10.79 |
52.41 |
67.30% |
W 27-24 |
6-3 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Middle Tennessee |
28.55 |
19.29 |
-9.26 |
47.84 |
64.84% |
W 13-7 |
7-3 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Western Kentucky |
25.97 |
27.27 |
+1.29 |
53.24 |
47.92% |
W 38-29 |
8-3 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Auburn |
9.42 |
29.13 |
+19.71 |
38.55 |
18.39% |
W 31-10 |
9-3 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Jacksonville State |
24.45 |
22.63 |
-1.83 |
47.08 |
52.93% |
W 20-17 |
10-3 |
| 2023-12-02 |
@Liberty |
22.46 |
38.07 |
+15.62 |
60.53 |
24.95% |
L 35-49 |
10-4 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-16 |
@Fresno State |
20.05 |
26.32 |
+6.27 |
46.36 |
39.94% |
L 10-37 |
10-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 10-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-14 |
0.00% |
| 2-13 |
0.01% |
| 3-12 |
0.08% |
| 4-11 |
0.60% |
| 5-10 |
2.45% |
| 6-9 |
6.89% |
| 7-8 |
14.11% |
| 8-7 |
21.09% |
| 9-6 |
22.74% |
| 10-5 |
17.69% |
| 11-4 |
9.80% |
| 12-3 |
3.56% |
| 13-2 |
0.85% |
| 14-1 |
0.12% |
| 15-0 |
0.01% |